Ecology & populations · SL/HL
Lincoln index
Estimate population size from capture and recapture.
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Number formats & units
Use decimal dots in datasets. Single values also accept decimal commas and scientific notation such as 1.2e-3 or 1.2 × 10⁻³.
Calculated locally. No account or input upload.
Result & working
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Interpretation & assumptions
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Formula & example
The relationship
What the variables mean
| Symbol | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Number initially captured and marked. | |
| Total caught on the second occasion. | |
| Marked individuals in the second capture. |
Worked example
- Initially captured and marked n₁
- 80
- Total second capture n₂
- 70
- Marked recaptured n₃
- 14
Estimated N = 400
Follow the example steps
- N = n₁n₂/n₃ = 80 × 70 / 14 = 400
Common mistakes
Divide by the number of marked individuals recaptured.
Incorrect approach
n₁ = 20, n₂ = 30, n₃ = 5: N = 20 × 30
Correct approach
N = 20 × 30/5 = 120
More checks before you submit
- If no marked individuals are recaptured, the simple Lincoln estimate is undefined.
Method notes
The estimate depends on assumptions such as marks remaining identifiable, sufficient mixing, and similar capture probability.